![]() While I think they showed strength there, I’m not sure that they showed enough strength to indicate the Democrats were gonna do better there than they would in the national popular vote, which had been the case before Trump was the president.ĭoes this election give you any kind of insight into the type of candidate you think Democrats should run in 2020? But if the Democrats want to win through the Midwest, they need all of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Scott Walker did lose in Wisconsin, and that is important. The Democrats fell short of reclaiming the governorship in Iowa. Given that it was a wave election, where the Democrats won the national popular vote by 7 points in the end probably, an incumbent Democrat winning Michigan by 7 points or so does not impress me all that much. I thought that Debbie Stabenow’s performance in Michigan was pretty disappointing. But I don’t know that I thought that it was a very impressive performance, Isaac. That said, I thought the election results were broadly consistent with the view that the Democrats could win those states back. ![]() ![]() There is no reason to suppose that 2016 was the floor among that group, and there are additional electoral votes for the Democrats to lose in a place like Minnesota or Maine. And the final thing is that if the Democrats don’t have a strategy intended to stem the bleeding on white working-class voters, it could get worse for them. ![]() The Sun Belt states I think offer relatively limited upside for Democrats. Well, first let me say, and you know this because we talk all the time, that I have always felt that the Democratic path is in the Midwest. ![]()
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